Mount St Marys
W-L: (10- 7) PR = 81.6405Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Towson Colonial ( 8-11, 84.1) 11-14 214 A Duquesne Atlantic 10 ( 2-13, 73.1) 19-13 221 A Lafayette Patriot ( 5-10, 79.1) 12-17 225 H George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 9- 8, 79.9) 11- 8 301 A Cincinnati Big 12 ( 9- 8, 83.0) 6- 9 304 H Radford Big South ( 4-14, 71.3) 15- 6 311 H Lehigh Patriot ( 6-10, 80.4) 20-12 314 A Delaware Atlantic Su (13- 5, 87.5) 5-17 321 A Merrimack Metro Atlan ( 6-11, 74.3) 17- 9 325 H Marist Metro Atlan ( 4-12, 77.5) 18- 1 328 H Rider Metro Atlan ( 1-16, 72.3) 17- 2 401 A Siena Metro Atlan (12- 7, 81.9) 11-10 404 H Iona Metro Atlan ( 3-13, 72.8) 17- 8 408 A Fairfield Metro Atlan (15- 4, 84.7) 4-12 411 H Canisius Metro Atlan (12- 5, 81.1) 11-14 418 A Niagara Metro Atlan ( 8- 9, 78.4) 13- 4 426 H Siena Metro Atlan (12- 7, 81.9) 8- 9
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Towson 11-14 -3 -1 -1.91
214 A Duquesne 19-13 6 7 -1.17
221 A Lafayette 12-17 -5 1 --- -6.18
225 H George Washington 11- 8 3 3 -0.10
301 A Cincinnati 6- 9 -3 -3 -0.31
304 H Radford 15- 6 9 12 - -2.68
311 H Lehigh 20-12 8 3 ++ 5.36
314 A Delaware 5-17 -12 -7 -- -4.76
321 A Merrimack 17- 9 8 6 + 2.06
325 H Marist 18- 1 17 6 +++ 8.48
328 H Rider 17- 2 15 11 + 3.25
401 A Siena 11-10 1 -2 + 2.61
404 H Iona 17- 8 9 10 -1.17
408 A Fairfield 4-12 -8 -4 - -3.59
411 H Canisius 11-14 -3 2 -- -4.86
418 A Niagara 13- 4 9 2 +++ 7.08
426 H Siena 8- 9 -1 1 - -2.12
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 A Lafayette 12-17 -5 1 --- -6.18 314 A Delaware 5-17 -12 -7 -- -4.76 411 H Canisius 11-14 -3 2 -- -4.86 304 H Radford 15- 6 9 12 - -2.68 408 A Fairfield 4-12 -8 -4 - -3.59 426 H Siena 8- 9 -1 1 - -2.12 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 H Marist 18- 1 17 6 +++ 8.48 418 A Niagara 13- 4 9 2 +++ 7.08 311 H Lehigh 20-12 8 3 ++ 5.36 321 A Merrimack 17- 9 8 6 + 2.06 328 H Rider 17- 2 15 11 + 3.25 401 A Siena 11-10 1 -2 + 2.61 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Towson ( 8-11, 84.1) 11-14 -15.80 24.37 -1.37 1.02 -8.75
3 A Duquesne ( 2-13, 73.1) 19-13 -26.79 13.37 1.37 1.02 30.04
3 A Lafayette ( 5-10, 79.1) 12-17 -20.80 19.36 1.37 1.02 -9.90
3 H George Washing ( 9- 8, 79.9) 11- 8 -19.99 20.17 -1.37 1.02 38.33
3 A Cincinnati ( 9- 8, 83.0) 6- 9 -16.93 23.23 1.37 1.02 -7.93
3 H Radford ( 4-14, 71.3) 15- 6 -28.57 11.60 -1.37 1.02 20.85
3 H Lehigh ( 6-10, 80.4) 20-12 -19.54 20.63 -1.37 1.02 39.26
3 A Delaware (13- 5, 87.5) 5-17 -12.38 27.78 1.37 1.02 -5.61
3 A Merrimack ( 6-11, 74.3) 17- 9 -25.56 14.60 1.37 1.02 32.55
3 H Marist ( 4-12, 77.5) 18- 1 -22.41 17.76 -1.37 1.02 33.40
3 H Rider ( 1-16, 72.3) 17- 2 -27.64 12.52 -1.37 1.02 22.74
3 A Siena (12- 7, 81.9) 11-10 -18.01 22.16 1.37 1.02 47.94
3 H Iona ( 3-13, 72.8) 17- 8 -27.07 13.10 -1.37 1.02 23.91
3 A Fairfield (15- 4, 84.7) 4-12 -15.21 24.95 1.37 1.02 -7.06
3 H Canisius (12- 5, 81.1) 11-14 -18.75 21.42 -1.37 1.02 -10.25
3 A Niagara ( 8- 9, 78.4) 13- 4 -21.55 18.62 1.37 1.02 40.73
3 H Siena (12- 7, 81.9) 8- 9 -18.01 22.16 -1.37 1.02 -9.87
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270.38
|
winning pts = 329.7547 losing points = -59.3751
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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